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    Federal Government declares June 6 and 9 public holidays

    Federal Government declares June 6 and 9 public holidays

    Prosecutors demand six-year prison sentence for Simon Ekpa

    Prosecutors demand six-year prison sentence for Simon Ekpa

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    SEC alerts Nigerians of illegal operator Silverkuun Investment Cooperative Society/Silverkuun Limited

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    Spain golden visa scheme ends as Portugal and Greece demand increases

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    FG increases private university application fee from N5m to N25m

    United States scraps visa dropbox service for Nigerian applicants

    United States scraps visa dropbox service for Nigerian applicants

    Buhari says Nigeria security and economy improved during his tenure

    Buhari says Nigeria security and economy improved during his tenure

    Air Sierra Leone commences flight operations to Lagos

    Air Sierra Leone commences flight operations to Lagos

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    Nigeria renews $2 billion currency swap deal with China to boost bilateral trade

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    Court sanctions transfer of Access Bank Plc Shares to Holding Company

    Access Bank completes the acquisition of National Bank of Kenya

    ELECTION: Cutix Plc reschedules Board Meeting

    CUTIX PLC reports N1.1 billion profit for the FY ended April 2025

    Honeywell Flour Mills Plc reports N14.6 billion profit for FY ended March 2025

    Honeywell Flour Mills Plc reports N14.6 billion profit for FY ended March 2025

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    Weekly Market Report: NGX market capitalization settles at N70.46 trillion

    MTN Nigeria to pay over N200 billion final dividend for 2022

    List of Dividends announced in 2025, qualification and payment dates

    Dangote Group announces major investment in rice production

    Dangote Group announces major investment in rice production

    Vacancy at Port Harcourt Refinery

    NNPC Ltd Announces Maintenance Shutdown of Port Harcourt Refinery

    Security features of the new naira notes revealed by the CBN

    The Frontier Fund unit holders to get N17 per unit distribution

    Banks begin to charge taxes on bonds, T-bills as exemption expires

    Skyway Aviation Handling Company Plc announces N0.6 final dividend for 2024 FY

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    ELECTION: Cutix Plc reschedules Board Meeting

    Weekly Report: Nigerian Exchange sees mixed performance as Cutix Plc emerge top gainer

    Again DMO offers N360 billion FGN bond for February

    DMO offers N300 billion FGN bond for auction in May

    NGX Daily Equities Market Report: Market gains for third consecutive days

    CSCS Plc explores listing on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX)

    NGX Daily Equities Market Report: Market gains for third consecutive days

    NGX delists Flour Mills shares, lists additional NB and Jaiz Bank shares

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    BITCOIN hits $103,000 for the first time

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    Bitcoin (BTC) rises above US$90,000 records a new all time high

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    Alhaji Dahiru Mangal sold his 1.96bn Oando Shares for N11.81bn

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    How does family of 6 survive with income of N250,000 a month

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    How Donald Trump won the 2024 U.S Presidential Election

    Rovina Medical Diagnostic Services offers free Breast and Prostrate cancer scans

    Rovina Medical Diagnostic Services offers free Breast and Prostrate cancer scans

    Security features of the new naira notes revealed by the CBN

    New hope for Naira fixed income savers?

    The Nigerian Stock Market: Has Tinubu’s Election impacted the Market Negatively?

    Nigerian Exchange gains 5.37% in Tinubu’s first week, highest for any President since return to Democracy

    The Nigerian Stock Market: Has Tinubu’s Election impacted the Market Negatively?

    The Nigerian Stock Market: Has Tinubu’s Election impacted the Market Negatively?

    Just in: Bandits attack President Buhari’s convoy in Katsina, two injured

    2015 vs 2023 Data: Nigeria situation went from bad to worse under Buhari

    Who is Hiba Abouk soon to be Achraf Hakimi’s ex-wife worth millions of dollars?

    Who is Hiba Abouk soon to be Achraf Hakimi’s ex-wife worth millions of dollars?

    LP won Obio-Akpor LGA Rivers State not APC as announced – INEC’s IReV

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    Federal Government declares June 6 and 9 public holidays

    Federal Government declares June 6 and 9 public holidays

    Prosecutors demand six-year prison sentence for Simon Ekpa

    Prosecutors demand six-year prison sentence for Simon Ekpa

    SEC alerts Nigerians of illegal operator Silverkuun Investment Cooperative Society/Silverkuun Limited

    SEC alerts Nigerians of illegal operator Silverkuun Investment Cooperative Society/Silverkuun Limited

    Legal Expert says only Rivers State can collect VAT as at today following Appeal Court’s order to “maintain status quo”

    Wike describes Seyi Makinde as chief architect of PDP problems

    ELECTION: Cutix Plc reschedules Board Meeting

    Weekly Report: Nigerian Exchange sees mixed performance as Cutix Plc emerge top gainer

    Breaking: President Tinubu dissolves Boards of Parastatals, Agencies, Institutions

    President Bola Tinubu Approves New Heads of Federal Agencies & Commissions

    All diaspora remittances must be received by beneficiaries in foreign currency only – CBN

    UH Real Estate Investment Trust to distribute N5.05 per unit to unit holders

    Canceling Keystone XL pipeline cost thousands of jobs, billions of dollars – Biden Administration

    Breaking: President Joe Biden diagnosed with “aggressive” cancer

    Mexican Navy Ship crashes into New York Bridge

    Mexican Navy Ship crashes into New York Bridge

    • Nigeria
    • Africa
    • World
  • Economy
    • All
    • Budgets
    • Economic Data
    • Policies
    UK tightens visa rules for care workers, skilled workers and students

    UK tightens visa rules for care workers, skilled workers and students

    United States scraps visa dropbox service for Nigerian applicants

    President Donald Trump cancels protection for 500,000 Haitian migrants

    Spain golden visa scheme ends as Portugal and Greece demand increases

    Spain golden visa scheme ends as Portugal and Greece demand increases

    CBN fines nine banks 150 million Naira each for failing to dispense cash

    CBN ends free ATM withdrawals for other banks’customers

    FG increases private university application fee from N5m to N25m

    FG increases private university application fee from N5m to N25m

    United States scraps visa dropbox service for Nigerian applicants

    United States scraps visa dropbox service for Nigerian applicants

    Buhari says Nigeria security and economy improved during his tenure

    Buhari says Nigeria security and economy improved during his tenure

    Air Sierra Leone commences flight operations to Lagos

    Air Sierra Leone commences flight operations to Lagos

    Nigeria renews $2 billion currency swap deal with China to boost bilateral trade

    Nigeria renews $2 billion currency swap deal with China to boost bilateral trade

    • Policies
    • Budgets
    • Economic Data
  • Business
    • All
    • Agriculture
    • Companies
    • Industry
    • Technology
    Court sanctions transfer of Access Bank Plc Shares to Holding Company

    Access Bank completes the acquisition of National Bank of Kenya

    ELECTION: Cutix Plc reschedules Board Meeting

    CUTIX PLC reports N1.1 billion profit for the FY ended April 2025

    Honeywell Flour Mills Plc reports N14.6 billion profit for FY ended March 2025

    Honeywell Flour Mills Plc reports N14.6 billion profit for FY ended March 2025

    List of Stockbrokers in Nigeria

    Weekly Market Report: NGX market capitalization settles at N70.46 trillion

    MTN Nigeria to pay over N200 billion final dividend for 2022

    List of Dividends announced in 2025, qualification and payment dates

    Dangote Group announces major investment in rice production

    Dangote Group announces major investment in rice production

    Vacancy at Port Harcourt Refinery

    NNPC Ltd Announces Maintenance Shutdown of Port Harcourt Refinery

    Security features of the new naira notes revealed by the CBN

    The Frontier Fund unit holders to get N17 per unit distribution

    Banks begin to charge taxes on bonds, T-bills as exemption expires

    Skyway Aviation Handling Company Plc announces N0.6 final dividend for 2024 FY

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    ELECTION: Cutix Plc reschedules Board Meeting

    Weekly Report: Nigerian Exchange sees mixed performance as Cutix Plc emerge top gainer

    Again DMO offers N360 billion FGN bond for February

    DMO offers N300 billion FGN bond for auction in May

    NGX Daily Equities Market Report: Market gains for third consecutive days

    CSCS Plc explores listing on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX)

    NGX Daily Equities Market Report: Market gains for third consecutive days

    NGX delists Flour Mills shares, lists additional NB and Jaiz Bank shares

    Bitcoin soars above $21,000 as U.S. dollar sags

    BITCOIN hits $103,000 for the first time

    Bitcoin (BTC) rises above US$90,000 records a new all time high

    Bitcoin (BTC) rises above US$90,000 records a new all time high

    Bitcoin crosses US$60K, approaches All-Time High

    Bitcoin (BTC) rises above US$80,000

    Alhaji Dahiru Mangal sold his 1.96bn Oando Shares for N11.81bn

    NGX RegCo suspends Trading of Oando Plc shares

    NGX RegCo approves Livingtrust Mortgage Bank’s free float compliance plan

    SEC approves Busha and Quidax as crypto exchanges in Nigeria

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    How does family of 6 survive with income of N250,000 a month

    How does family of 6 survive with income of N250,000 a month

    Trump wins a resounding victory in first Republican primary in Iowa

    How Donald Trump won the 2024 U.S Presidential Election

    Rovina Medical Diagnostic Services offers free Breast and Prostrate cancer scans

    Rovina Medical Diagnostic Services offers free Breast and Prostrate cancer scans

    Security features of the new naira notes revealed by the CBN

    New hope for Naira fixed income savers?

    The Nigerian Stock Market: Has Tinubu’s Election impacted the Market Negatively?

    Nigerian Exchange gains 5.37% in Tinubu’s first week, highest for any President since return to Democracy

    The Nigerian Stock Market: Has Tinubu’s Election impacted the Market Negatively?

    The Nigerian Stock Market: Has Tinubu’s Election impacted the Market Negatively?

    Just in: Bandits attack President Buhari’s convoy in Katsina, two injured

    2015 vs 2023 Data: Nigeria situation went from bad to worse under Buhari

    Who is Hiba Abouk soon to be Achraf Hakimi’s ex-wife worth millions of dollars?

    Who is Hiba Abouk soon to be Achraf Hakimi’s ex-wife worth millions of dollars?

    LP won Obio-Akpor LGA Rivers State not APC as announced – INEC’s IReV

    APC won Abua-Odual and Ahoada East LGAs of Rivers State as announced – INEC’s IRev

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Home Economy Economic Data

Domestic Economy: Bouts of Positive Sentiment Eases Outlook on Credit Supply in Q1:2021

Weekly Market Review

Friday, 1 January 2021, 8:24 pm
in Economic Data, Economy
0
Nigerian Stock Market suffers back to back loses as profit taking persist
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(Greenwich Merchant Bank): Credit conditions continued to improve in the fourth quarter, as broad-based growth in secured, unsecured and corporate facilities indicate an improvement in macroeconomic conditions according to the latest Survey by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) amid a push by credit suppliers to increase their market share.

According to the CBN, demand for loans is thus expected to bounce back, as the economy reopens, and businesses scurry out of the hands of the ravaging coronavirus pandemic.

Responses suggest that the availability of secured and unsecured facilities to households rose in Q4:2020 when compared to Q3:2020, and both are expected to remain bullish in Q1:2021.

  • Read: Fixed Income Market: Naira weakens across the I&EW and Parallel Market
  • The Local Bourse Wraps Up Eventful Year…as the YtD Return Hits an Impressive +50.0%

Owing to tighter credit score criteria, loan applications for secured lending dropped in Q4:2020, but unsecured lending saw a pick-up in approved total loan applications for the period. We allude the decline in secured lending to severely dampened sentiment of lenders closely tied to the pandemic, as higher returns are demanded to compensate for the risky business environment.

Due to this, lenders are expected to maintain strict lending policies in the next quarter. It is noteworthy that default rates on secured loan performance worsened in Q4:2020 and will persist through Q1:2021 (except for bank secured loans which should fare better).

Notably, Household demand for consumer loans rose in the period, even as house purchase loans decreased. This reflects the reprioritization of consumer budgets to delay heavy spending, amid the economic downturn induced by COVID-19.

The demand for mortgage/remortgaging from households increased in Q4:2020, nonetheless. Thus, the positive outlook for the economy in 2021 has raised optimism for better household borrowing across the board next year.

In terms of the cost of borrowing, new loans were cheaper for households, as the spread between secured and unsecured lending rates and the MPR further narrowed in Q4:2020. In the coming quarter, the spread is expected to narrow further for new unsecured lending but remain unchanged for secured lending.

For Corporates, there was an increase in the availability of credit, following better macro-conditions, improvements in certain sectors, accommodative policy stance, increase in system liquidity, reach by credit suppliers for greater market share, backed by a shift in investors’ risk appetite.

However, the demand for corporate lending decreased across the board, except for small businesses and Other Financial Corporations (OFCs) in Q4:2020.

According to the CBN, the increase in mergers & acquisitions and balance sheet restructurings during the period weighed on demand for corporate loans, but as economic activities, pick-up in Q1:2021, inventory finance and capital investment is expected to fuel demand for more corporate lending.

In terms of default, small businesses, and medium-sized Public Non-Financial Corporations (PNFCs) loan performance worsened in Q4:2020, this is more likely to have been linked to the rather constraining terms for smaller firms, while that of large PNFCs and OFCs improved.

Outlook for Q1:2021 is that default rates will reduce given better economic prospects. Unlike household loans, the divergence between bank lending rates on approved new loan applications and the MPR increased across the board for corporates in Q4:2020 except for medium PNFCs. This trend is expected to be sustained in Q1:2021.

Although the scarring effects on the business sector remains surprisingly limited so far, the rising COVID-19 infections raise the risks that businesses may struggle in the coming months without further support, with monetary policy stretched out, and fiscal support grappled with a lower revenue base.

We envisage that there might be a jump in corporate lending, buttressed by the low yield environment, chiefly for bigger firms. Corporate loans to small to mid-sized businesses may, however, be quite grim, leading to an eventual credit crunch in this business segment.

We believe that a possible solution in the form of private credit industry or government loan guarantee programme, could upscale the credit scores for smaller businesses, and ease the strain on loan off-takers.

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